Date
18 December 2017
Replicas of the Brazilian national football team jerseys are displayed for sale on a street in Brasilia. The host nation has the best chance of winning the 2014 tournament, according to Goldman Sachs analysts. Photo: Reuters
Replicas of the Brazilian national football team jerseys are displayed for sale on a street in Brasilia. The host nation has the best chance of winning the 2014 tournament, according to Goldman Sachs analysts. Photo: Reuters

Goldman tips Brazil to win the World Cup

Host nation Brazil has the best chance of winning the World Cup football tournament which kicks off next month, according to quantitative analysis by Goldman Sachs Group analysts.

The investment bank has unveiled a 67-page long report that analyzed the scoring details of 14,000 international football matches since 1960.

The results show there is 48.5 percent probability that Brazil will make it to the final and win the 2014 trophy, the Hong Kong Economic Journal reported Thursday. Argentina, Germany and Spain — the three potential rivals in semi-final – are said to have a winning probability of only 14.1 percent, 11.4 percent and 9.8 percent, respectively.

Brazil is expected to beat Germany in a semifinal and take on Argentina in the final.

England, the most popular team among Hongkongers, only has a 1.4 percent chance to be the winner, according to Goldman analysts. Portugal and France, meanwhile, are both seen having less than 1 percent probability to win the cup.

It remains to be seen how accurate Goldman’s predictions will turn out. Ahead of the previous World Cup in 2010, the investment bank also tipped Brazil to be the winner. But the end-result was different. Brazil was elbowed out in a semi-final knockout, while Spain took the top honors.

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