Civic Party and New People’s Party are likely to sweep the Legislative Council election in September, grabbing two seats each in the Hong Kong Island, New Territories West and New Territories East geographical constituencies, the Hong Kong Economic Journal reports, citing the results of a survey conducted by the Public Opinions Program of the University of Hong Kong.
The survey, commissioned by the pro-democracy political group Power for Democracy, showed that pro-establishment candidates could secure 18 seats, while the pro-democratic camp looks set to claim 17 seats, the newspaper said.
POP director Robert Chung stressed that the poll was conducted ahead of the nomination period, which begins on Saturday.
He said the respondents made their choices based on the popularity of potential candidates.
The poll is divided into two phases, with the first phase having surveyed 5,000 citizens between mid-June and early July across all five geographical constituencies.
The results of the second phase of the survey will be released in mid-August.
Judging from the results of the initial survey, only the Civic Party is poised to win an additional directly elected seat, while the rest of the pan-democratic camp, including the Labour Party, the League of Social Democrats and the Neo Democrats, are expected to retain their existing number of Legco seats.
The Democratic Party’s incumbent lawmakers Helena Wong Pik-wan and Wu Chi-wai are expected to keep their seats.
However, the party’s other candidates are seen securing only 4.2 percent, 3.1 percent and 3.1 percent of the votes in the Hong Kong Island, New Territories East and New Territories West geographical constituencies, according to the survey.
Meanwhile, the survey also showed that the localist group Hong Kong Indigenous could come in third in New Territories East, the Ming Pao Daily said.
Another localist party, Youngspiration, ranked ninth and sixth in New Territories West and Kowloon West, respectively, meaning that it could claim the last available seat from these two constituencies.
Demosistō, the party of student leader Joshua Wong Chi-fung, and the Hong Kong National Party, which advocates Hong Kong independence, have trailed the rest of the political parties in the survey.
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