Date
24 July 2017
Hillary Clinton has 95% chance of becoming the next US president, as of now, according to Reuters/Ipsos. Photo: Reuters
Hillary Clinton has 95% chance of becoming the next US president, as of now, according to Reuters/Ipsos. Photo: Reuters

Clinton leads Trump in key swing states: Reuters/Ipsos poll

US Democratic presidential hopeful Hillary Clinton is ahead of her Republican rival Donald Trump by six percentage points and leading in 19 states, including the key swing battlegrounds of Florida, Ohio and Virginia, according to the latest Reuters/Ipsos election tracker.

If the presidential election were held today, Clinton has a 95 percent chance of beating Trump and becoming America’s first female president, the poll showed.

At the moment, Clinton would win at least 268 votes in the Electoral College, the body that ultimately chooses the next president, just two shy of what she needs to win the White House, Reuters reported, citing the finding of its States of the Nation project undertaken jointly with Ipsos.

On average, the former secretary of state would win by 108 electoral college votes.

Trump would win at least 21 states, many of them with smaller populations, giving him a minimum of 179 electoral votes.

The Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project combines opinion polls with an analysis of voting patterns under different election scenarios.

According to the survey, the candidates are running about even in eight states, including Pennsylvania, Michigan and North Carolina.

Trump would need to win the 21 states currently in his column and sweep all of the remaining “toss-up” states to win the presidency, which is a steep challenge.

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