Date
19 October 2017
Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen said US growth is looking stronger and rate increases will be needed to keep the economy from overheating and fueling high inflation. Photo: Reuters
Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen said US growth is looking stronger and rate increases will be needed to keep the economy from overheating and fueling high inflation. Photo: Reuters

Fed keeps rates steady, hints at year-end hike

The US Federal Reserve has left interest rates unchanged but strongly signaled it could still tighten monetary policy by the end of this year as the labor market improved further.

Fed chair Janet Yellen, speaking after the central bank’s latest policy statement, said US growth is looking stronger and rate increases will be needed to keep the economy from overheating and fueling high inflation, Reuters reports.

“We judged that the case for an increase has strengthened but decided for the time being to wait,” Yellen told a news conference. “The economy has a little more room to run.”

Yellen said she expects one rate increase this year if the job market continues to improve and major new risks do not arise.

The Fed kept its target rate for overnight lending between banks in a range of 0.25 percent to 0.50 percent, where it has been since it hiked rates in December for the first time in nearly a decade.

The central bank has appeared increasingly divided over the urgency of raising rates.

On Wednesday, Kansas City Fed president Esther George, Cleveland Fed president Loretta Mester and Boston Fed president Eric Rosengren dissented on the policy statement, saying they favored raising rates this week.

At the same time, policymakers cut the number of rate increases they expect this year to one from two previously, according to the median projection of forecasts released with the statement.

Three of the 17 policymakers said rates should remain steady for the rest of the year.

The Fed also projected a less aggressive rise in interest rates next year and in 2018, and cut its longer-run interest rate forecast to 2.9 percent from 3.0 percent.

Investors did not appear to significantly shift their bets on the timing of the next rate hike.

Prices for fed funds futures contracts suggested investors continued to see just better-than-even odds of a hike at the December policy meeting, and almost no chance of an increase in November.

US stock prices rose after the Fed released its statement.

The dissents from those wanting a hike this week suggested to some economists that pressure was building.

“While the Federal Reserve held rates unchanged, the highly unusual 7-3 vote points to the depth of its policy dilemma and makes a December hike more likely,” said Mohamed El-Erian, chief economic adviser at Allianz.

Last December, the Fed signaled that four rate increases were likely in 2016, but that was scaled back in March due to a global growth slowdown, financial market volatility and concerns about tepid US inflation.

– Contact us at [email protected]

CG

EJI Weekly Newsletter

Please click here to unsubscribe